Behind the Statistics: Drop in civilian casualties’ masks increased Taliban violence
This report draws on two data sets – UNAMA’s third quarterly report of 2020 on the harm suffered by civilians in the Afghan conflict and ACLED’s
documenting of incidents of violence, (1) which have been collated and
illustrated by data analyst, Roger Helms. The report is also part of ongoing
work analysing the Afghan conflict since the United States and Taleban
signed their agreement in the Qatari capital, Doha, on 29 February 2020.
On the face of it, the UNAMA’s Q3 report looks more hopeful than usual. It
In addition to its disastrous public health effects on Afghanistan, the Covid-19 pandemic is harming the country’s economy and has pushed more people into poverty. Covid is also creating a sizable hole in the national budget, diverting precious aid resources away from development and any possible ‘peace dividend’ and complicating rather than simplifying current political dynamics including around the peace process. Guest author Bill Byrd*, a senior expert at the US Institute of Peace expressing his own views, analyses the economic,
fiscal and political economy
implications of the pandemic.
reliable data are lacking, Covid-19 has been estimated to be